Once-quiet shoulder seasons are now travellers’ favourites, offering space, comfort and authentic local encounters | Lake Annecy, Haute-Savoie, France Puripat Lertpunyaroj/Shutterstock
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Why 'Best Time to Visit' Is Dead—And What Travellers Should Do Instead

Climate shifts, overtourism and remote work have scrambled classic travel seasons. The old rule—pick the month with the fewest crowds and best weather—no longer holds. Here’s why seasonal advice is breaking down and what to plan for instead

Author : Anwesha Santra

For decades, travel writers and guidebooks have relied on one neat formula: the “best time to visit.” Meghalaya in the monsoon, Santorini in May, Kerala in December, New York in the fall. These simple rules worked because weather cycles, flight prices, and holiday calendars followed predictable rhythms. But the world has changed. Climate instability, overtourism restrictions, and new traveller habits have scrambled seasonal logic. Today, the idea of a single perfect month or season has lost much of its relevance. Both travellers and destinations are learning to adapt to a more fluid reality. 

The Three Forces That Broke The Calendar

The first disruptor is climate volatility. Rising global temperatures have dramatically reshaped tourism seasons. Summers are hotter and less predictable, while rainfall events are more extreme. Mediterranean beach resorts, once at their busiest in July and August, now struggle with record-breaking heatwaves and wildfires, forcing cities and hotels to rethink operations during those peak months. Meanwhile, regions in northern Europe and North America are seeing their tourist seasons stretch into September and October, as autumns stay warmer and more comfortable than they once were.

Visitors at a beach in Marari, Kerala

Research tracking visitor flows confirms the shift: hotter-than-average summers are linked to a decline in arrivals, while milder autumns extend the season. What used to be reliable high- and shoulder-season windows are being rewritten by the weather, with long-established tourist calendars increasingly unreliable.

The second disruptor is overtourism management. Where crowds once clustered predictably in summer, many destinations now actively regulate visitor numbers. Cities in Europe, island nations in Asia, and even Himalayan trails in India have introduced quotas, new entry fees, and seasonal restrictions to protect their environments and communities. Once upon a time, the “best time to visit” a destination coincided with festivals or holiday breaks. Today, those very months might be the hardest to access, with higher surcharges or strict limits on entry. A city might encourage tourists in quieter months and actively discourage them during high season, completely overturning the old travel wisdom.

The third major disruptor is traveller behaviour itself. The pandemic changed not just how people travel but when. The rise of remote work and digital nomadism has created longer, more flexible stays. Instead of a strict two-week summer holiday, many professionals now travel year-round, blending work with leisure. Industry trend reports show a steady increase in off-season and shoulder-season bookings. Families still cluster around school holidays, but younger and older travellers, along with remote workers, are reshaping demand patterns. The result: crowds spread more unpredictably across the calendar, undermining the notion of a single best period.

On the way to Bum La Pass, Tawang, Arunachal Pradesh

The Numbers Behind The Change

Tourism statistics reinforce what anecdotal evidence suggests. Globally, international arrivals are now close to pre-pandemic levels, estimated at over 1.2 billion annually, but the timing of these trips is shifting. Instead of sharp peaks in the summer, destinations are reporting a noticeable rise in autumn and spring visitors. Travel companies are adapting by extending operations into previously quiet months and offering packages that were once considered “off-season.”

Chinese fishing nets (cheenavala) at Fort Kochi, Kerala

In India, seasonality is still visible but is slowly dispersing. The ministry of tourism’s compendium shows familiar peaks in domestic travel during May–June (summer vacations) and October–December (festival and winter holidays). However, data also reveals a growing trend of off-peak travel, particularly to hill stations, desert states, and coastal destinations. For instance, Goa has witnessed a rise in monsoon tourism, with hotels promoting July–September as a season for wellness retreats and nature-based experiences. The Northeast, once heavily seasonal due to rains, is now drawing tourists year-round with improved infrastructure and targeted marketing.

Economists warn that seasonality makes tourism-dependent economies vulnerable, creating job instability and putting strain on local services during peak months. Climate change, shifting visitor flows, and policy restrictions are only intensifying this volatility. For India, where tourism accounts for nearly 5 per cent of GDP and supports millions of livelihoods, adapting to this new reality is becoming essential.

How Travellers Can Plan Smarter

A shot near Lamang Pass, Menchukha, Arunachal Pradesh

So, what does all this mean for the traveller planning their next trip? It means that the old shorthand—“visit in June, avoid August”—is no longer reliable. The smart approach is to think in terms of windows rather than fixed dates. Instead of locking into a single “ideal month,” travellers should plan for a range and monitor weather updates, local advisories, and festival calendars as the trip approaches.

Real-time sources matter more than ever. Destination management websites, regional tourism boards, and local news now provide crucial updates on weather patterns, visitor caps, and seasonal events. A place might look empty in March one year but could be packed the next if it becomes a popular festival venue or if travel restrictions shift.

Flexibility has become an essential tool. Flexible airfares, refundable hotel bookings, and travel insurance that covers weather disruptions are now investments rather than luxuries. Packing for extremes—from sudden heatwaves to unseasonal downpours—is part of responsible planning. For outdoor activities, travellers should ask local operators about contingency plans, whether that’s rescheduling treks or providing indoor alternatives.

An empty pathway in Munnar, Kerala

Shoulder seasons, once underrated, have emerged as the sweet spot. They offer milder weather, fewer crowds, and often better value. In India, September in Himachal Pradesh, March in Rajasthan, or April in Kerala can be as rewarding as traditional peak months, sometimes even more so. These micro-seasons allow for immersive experiences while easing pressure on local communities.

What Destinations Need To Do

For destinations themselves, the message is equally clear: clinging to outdated calendars is no longer an option. Tourism managers need to focus less on “when people come” and more on “how many arrive at once.” Adaptive capacity management is the future—flexible staffing in hotels, dynamic pricing to smooth demand, and marketing campaigns that spotlight off-peak charms.

Intricately carved Jain Tirthankara figures grace the rock-cut temples beneath Gwalior Fort’s cliffs

Research from global organisations highlights that diversifying tourism products across seasons stabilises economies and reduces environmental stress. In practice, that means promoting cultural festivals in the low season, opening adventure trails in cooler months, or creating wellness and food tourism circuits that operate year-round. Some Indian states are already experimenting: Kerala promotes monsoon Ayurveda packages, Ladakh extends adventure sports into the shoulder season, and Madhya Pradesh has introduced wildlife safaris timed to avoid the traditional crowd surge.

A New Way To Ask The Question

Perhaps the real shift is in mindset. Instead of asking “When is the best time to visit?” travellers should ask: “What conditions do I want—weather, price, experiences, or crowd levels—and which months currently offer the best mix?” This reframing acknowledges that there is no single right answer, only trade-offs. It also forces travellers to seek up-to-date information and respect local realities, rather than relying on a universal rule.

A view of the Tiger Hill, Darjeeling, West Bengal, before sunrise

The comforting simplicity of one “best” season may be gone, but that opens up new opportunities. Travellers who plan with flexibility, stay informed, and respect the balance of people and place are more likely to have meaningful, comfortable journeys. For destinations, shifting the focus from calendars to capacity may well be the difference between being overrun and being sustainable.

The truth is simple: the old calendar is broken. The best time to visit isn’t a month anymore. It’s a mindset.

FAQs

1. Why is the idea of a “best time to visit” no longer reliable?
Climate change, overtourism, and flexible work patterns have disrupted traditional travel seasons, making one fixed “best time” outdated.

2. What are shoulder seasons and why are they becoming popular?
Shoulder seasons are the months between peak and off-peak travel. They now offer milder weather, fewer crowds, and better value for travellers.

3. How does climate change affect travel planning?
Extreme heat, unpredictable rainfall, and natural disasters are reshaping when destinations are safe and comfortable to visit, requiring flexible planning.

4. How can travellers plan smarter trips in 2025?
Travellers should use real-time updates, book flexible fares, pack for weather extremes, and choose windows of time rather than one fixed month.

5. What is the future of travel seasons?
Instead of a universal “best month,” travel will focus on personal preferences — weather, price, experiences, and crowd levels — making planning more individual.

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