In 2024, the scientists at NOAA Coral Reef Watch (the US government’s satellite programme that tracks reef health across every ocean basin on Earth) ran out of categories to describe what they were seeing. Their bleaching alert scale, used for decades to flag reefs from Australia’s Great Barrier Reef to the Caribbean’s Mesoamerican Reef at risk, topped out at Level 2. That year, it got three new levels—3, 4, and 5—just to capture how much coral was dying, and how fast, worldwide. Level 5 indicates prolonged heat stress severe enough that more than 80 per cent of heat-sensitive corals on a reef could die. Scientists had never needed a number that grim before.






